Impact 2024: How Donald Trump’s Reelection Could Amplify Global Inter-systemic Risk

Thomas Homer-Dixon, Michael Lawrence, Megan Shipman, Luke Kemp

This report, updated with an October 29, 2024 addendum, assesses how a second Trump administration could supercharge global political, economic, geopolitical, environmental, and pandemic risks and how those risks could then combine to escalate the world’s already severe polycrisis.

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