Prospecting for superhot rock energy
Rebecca Pearce et al.
Summary of a technology gap analysis for siting and characterizing superhot rock energy resources.
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Technical Papers
Catastrophic Dehumanization: A formal model
Thomas Homer-Dixon
A formal model drawing on insights from conflict, critical-transition, and catastrophe theories to explain the causal mechanisms that produce sudden dehumanization in situations of extreme conflict.
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Impact 2024: How Donald Trump’s Reelection Could Amplify Global Inter-systemic Risk
Thomas Homer-Dixon, Michael Lawrence, Megan Shipman, Luke Kemp
This report, updated with an October 29, 2024 addendum, assesses how a second Trump administration could supercharge global political, economic, geopolitical, environmental, and pandemic risks and how those risks could then combine to escalate the world’s already severe polycrisis.
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Drilling for Superhot Geothermal Energy: A Technology Gap Analysis
Rebecca Pearce, Tony Pink
This report reviews state-of-the-art deep geothermal drilling and well-construction technologies, identifies existing technology gaps, and suggests strategies to overcome these gaps.
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Ultradeep Geothermal Research and Action Roadmap
Leighton Gall, Dave Lovekin, Rebecca Pearce, Emily Smejkal
This Roadmap outlines a plan to advance ultradeep geothermal power—that is, geothermal systems with depths greater than 5 km—to commercial operation in Canada.
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Polycrisis Research and Action Roadmap
Michael Lawrence, Megan Shipman, Scott Janzwood, Constantin Arnscheidt, Jonathan Donges, Thomas Homer-Dixon, Christian Otto, Pia-Johanna Schweizer, Nico Wunderling
This report offers a concise yet comprehensive snapshot of the emerging field of polycrisis analysis, including gaps, opportunities, and potential priorities.
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Positive Pathways through Polycrisis
Michael Lawrence and Megan Shipman
This report explores how polycrisis analysis can help us navigate through polycrisis and pursue “positive pathways” to better futures.
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Casual Loop Diagrams handbook
This handbook explains how to read and draw a causal loop diagrams (CLD) — a systems mapping technique that helps us to think through our mental model of a system, increase our understanding of a system, and communicate our knowledge to others.
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Introduction to Polycrisis Analysis
Michael Lawrence, Megan Shipman, and Thomas Homer-Dixon
This guide presents the Cascade Institute’s framework for polycrisis analysis. It introduces an integrated set of concepts that clarifies interactions between global systemic crises and the potential outcomes of those interactions. It is intended to help governments, firms, and communities see through the fog currently surrounding global risks more effectively, so they can better anticipate and respond to emerging threats.
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Global polycrisis: The causal mechanisms of crisis entanglement
Michael Lawrence, Thomas Homer-Dixon, Scott Janzwood, Johan Rockström, Ortwin Renn, and Jonathan F. Donges
This peer-reviewed paper, published in Cambridge University Press’s Global Sustainability journal, defines the concept of global polycrisis and provides a theoretical framework to explain causal mechanisms currently entangling many of the world’s crises.
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