Applied Complexity Theory

The Cascade Institute treats applied complexity theory as a test-lab for ideas. Concepts, models, and methods are developed here, refined across projects, and then adopted within the Institute’s specific research programs — the global polycrisis, revitalizing and defending democracy, ultradeep geothermal energy, and scale-up and acceleration.

Getting to Enough

Thomas Homer-Dixon on the “enough versus feasible” dilemma — the gap between what is sufficient to address humanity’s predicament and what appears politically achievable — and how societies might close it.

Read Getting to Enough

Catastrophic Dehumanization: A formal model

A formal model that seeks to explain the causal mechanisms of sudden dehumanization in situations of extreme conflict. Also listed under the Polycrisis and Democracy programs.

Read the technical paper

Causal Loop Diagrams Handbook

A practical guide to building and reading causal loop diagrams, the visual grammar underlying much of the Institute’s causal mapping work.

Read the handbook

Interface theory (forthcoming)

A forthcoming technical paper developing an “interface theory” — an account of the cognitive load incurred each time people cross an interface between systems. Link to be added on publication.