Catastrophic Dehumanization: A formal model

Technical Paper #2024-8

Version Number: 1

November 14, 2024

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Thomas Homer-Dixon

A formal model draws on insights from conflict, critical-transition, and catastrophe theories to explain the causal mechanisms that produce sudden dehumanization in situations of extreme conflict, a phenomenon characterized by a sharp discontinuity between the psychological states of identification and non-identification with other people.

A set of discrete, plausible assumptions about the psychology of human conflict are stated as axioms, allowing them to be represented as mathematical functions. These functions conjoin to produce a bifurcated catastrophe “response surface” in a three-dimensional state space defined by the variables injustice, opportunity, and identity. The surface represents a finite set of possible psychological states and pathways of movement between these states.

Taken together, the model and surface provide a psychological theory of the nonlinear collapse of interpersonal identification. The model’s internal operations and alternative parameterizations are discussed and possible avenues for testing suggested.