Introduction to Polycrisis Analysis

The Cascade Institute's framework for polycrisis analysis

Technical Paper #2024-1

Version Number: 1.0

April 22, 2024

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Michael Lawrence, Megan Shipman, and Thomas Homer-Dixon

This guide presents the Cascade Institute’s framework for polycrisis analysis. It introduces an integrated set of concepts that clarifies interactions between global systemic crises and the potential outcomes of those interactions. It is intended to help governments, firms, and communities see through the fog currently surrounding global risks more effectively, so they can better anticipate and respond to emerging threats.