Technical Papers

Introduction to Polycrisis Analysis

Michael Lawrence, Megan Shipman, and Thomas Homer-Dixon

This guide presents the Cascade Institute’s framework for polycrisis analysis. It introduces an integrated set of concepts that clarifies interactions between global systemic crises and the potential outcomes of those interactions. It is intended to help governments, firms, and communities see through the fog currently surrounding global risks more effectively, so they can better anticipate and respond to emerging threats.

Introduction to Polycrisis Analysis Read More »

Global polycrisis: The causal mechanisms of crisis entanglement

Michael Lawrence, Thomas Homer-Dixon, Scott Janzwood, Johan Rockström, Ortwin Renn, and Jonathan F. Donges

This peer-reviewed paper, published in Cambridge University Press’s Global Sustainability journal, defines the concept of global polycrisis and provides a theoretical framework to explain causal mechanisms currently entangling many of the world’s crises.

Global polycrisis: The causal mechanisms of crisis entanglement Read More »

Correcting Canada’s “one eye shut” climate policy

Angela V. Carter and Truzaar Dordi

April 15, 2021 • This paper shows how growing oil and gas production is impeding Canada from meeting its climate commitments, outlines how the federal government is now supporting oil and gas production growth, and recommends specific policies the federal government could adopt in the near-term to begin a phase out of oil and gas production.

Correcting Canada’s “one eye shut” climate policy Read More »

Pension funds at a crossroads: Incremental greening or bold climate leadership?

Scott Janzwood

February 23, 2021 • This paper investigates the forces constraining pension funds from taking a bolder leadership role in the net-zero carbon energy transition. It presents strategies for organizations, activists, and researchers to accelerate pension fund leadership on a timescale that is commensurate with the urgency of the climate crisis.

Pension funds at a crossroads: Incremental greening or bold climate leadership? Read More »

Max – a thought experiment: Could AI run the economy better than markets?

Edward A. (Ted) Parson

October 29, 2020 • This paper explores how recent advances in AI have re-opened questions around the feasibility and desirability of central economic planning. It presents a thought experiment about how an AI-directed economy might work, based on a powerful AI agent (whimsically named “Max”).

Max – a thought experiment: Could AI run the economy better than markets? Read More »