NEWS AND VIEWS

Coastal erosion reveals the extent of ice-rich permafrost underlying active layer on the Arctic Coastal Plain in the Teshekpuk Lake Special Area of the National Petroleum Reserve - Alaska. Credit: Brandt Meixell, USGS

Canada must lead on permafrost protection

Ian Graham and John Jensen

The National Observer

Permafrost is already thawing and that thaw is accelerating. We need to understand the challenge and start dealing with it, before it’s too late.

Geothermal belongs in Canada’s industrial strategy

Emily Smejkal and Owen Henshaw

Times Colonist

Geothermal energy can meet domestic energy needs while positioning Canada as a global leader in clean energy services and technology.

How Canada can lead now in geothermal energy innovation

Emily Smejkal

The Future Economy

Canada is uniquely positioned to lead the next-generation geothermal energy boom by leveraging its oil and gas expertise, but it must act now with bold policy, investment, and coordination to seize the trillion-dollar opportunity.

Would you die for Canada? Polling suggests Canadians are more willing to fight for their country

Thomas Homer-Dixon and Toby Shannan

The Globe and Mail

Polling data shows most Canadians are willing to fight to defend their country against military attack.

Canada’s hidden heat: How regulations can power a geothermal breakthrough

Emily Smejkal

The National Observer

Provinces should act quickly to harmonize and extend geothermal regulations across the country.

Co-produced natural gas and geothermal power project in Swan Hills, Alberta, Canada (source: FutEra Power Public Report, January 2023)

How can Alberta and Ottawa be friends again? It begins with drilling

Peter Massie

The Globe and Mail

Drilling test centres in Alberta and Canada would establish the country as a global leader in geothermal power.

Anti-democratic ‘Dark Enlightenment’ ideas have spread from Silicon Valley to Washington

Christopher Collins
A spotlight on the growing influence of the anti-democratic 'Dark Enlightenment' philosophy among U.S. tech and political elites and its potential consequences for Canada.

It’s time to create a new national service

David Last and Thomas Homer-Dixon

Toronto Star

New and voluntary national service programs are needed to defend Canadian sovereignty.

Under Wright’s leadership, Liberty evolved from a specialized fracking company into a leading integrated energy services provider.

A bellwether for U.S. energy policy: Secretary of Energy Chris Wright’s approach to energy integration

Tim Bibby

Guest Commentary

U.S. Secretary of Energy Chris Wright's record has implications for Canada and beyond.

Canadian military uniforms

If you want peace, prepare for war—an ancient lesson Canada must remember

Thomas Homer-Dixon

The Globe and Mail

President Trump's threats to Canadian sovereignty demand a serious response.

Understanding the policy implications of Canada’s “hidden energy communities”

Julie MacArthur and Emmanuel Ackom

The Hill Times

"Hidden energy communities" are often left out of affordable and reliable clean energy services.

DEEP Earth Energy unveils next-gen geothermal plant near Estevan

Peter Massie

The Energy Mix

DEEP Earth Energy arrives on the Canadian geothermal power scene.

Governing in a complex world series: Explaining the global polycrisis

Thomas Homer-Dixon

Canada School of Public Service

The impacts of a global polycrisis on governance systems and the Government of Canada.

U.S. Department of Energy ARPA-E SUPERHOT program: Cascade Institute reaction

Ultradeep Geothermal program team

Cascade Institute reaction

The U.S. Department of Energy announces a $30M SUPERHOT geothermal program.

Understanding the ideological drivers of Russia’s war in Ukraine

Jonathan Leader Maynard

Cascade Institute Speaker Series

The critical role of ideology in Russia's war against Ukraine.

Trump Redux: Why the returning president is likely to become one of history’s most consequential figures

Thomas Homer-Dixon

The Globe and Mail

As “reconfigurer-in-chief," Donald Trump will be a world-historical figure.

Time to dig deep into a strategy for geothermal power

Peter Massie and Emily Smejkal

The Hill Times

Canada's opportunity to become a leader in geothermal power.

On disinformation: A conversation between the Cascade Institute’s Thomas Homer-Dixon and James Hoggan of the David Suzuki Institute

Thomas Homer-Dixon

David Suzuki Institute interview

How information overload in digital spaces fuels negativity and division.

Can we prevent Trump 2.0 from spiralling into catastrophe?

Megan Shipman and Michael Lawrence

The Globe and Mail

Donald Trump could activate vicious cycles in global systems and propel calamities that long outlive his second term.

Breaking New Ground - Geothermal in 2024

Breaking new ground: Geothermal in 2024

Peter Massie

Cascade Institute analysis

Technology breakthroughs have given geothermal a completely new value proposition.

Key to Canada’s growth? Recall the role of public money in developing Alberta Oil

Emily Smejkal, Peter Massie, and Thomas Homer-Dixon

The Globe and Mail

The potential for Canada's AOSTRA model (Alberta Oil Sands Technology and Research Authority) to serve as a blueprint to support energy innovation.

Major Cascade Institute funding to power up geothermal energy in Canada

Ultradeep Geothermal program team

Cascade Institute announcement

New funding massively upscales Canada’s R&D efforts in geothermal power.

Deep geothermal superpower: Positioning Canada for a breakthrough in next-generation geothermal systems

Ultradeep Geothermal program team

Cascade Institute announcement

The case for ultradeep geothermal energy and a strategic plan for Canada to capture this technological opportunity.

We should listen to a renowned scientist’s warning on climate change

Thomas Homer-Dixon

The Globe and Mail

A vital scientific paper argues that warming is far more “in the pipeline” than conventional models predict, and requires a radical response.

Canada needs to dig deep to become a world leader in geothermal technology

Rebecca Pearce and Ian Graham

The Globe and Mail

A worldwide race for next-generation geothermal technology has begun, and Canada can still emerge a leader.

Why so much is going wrong at the same time

Thomas Homer-Dixon

Vox

The world is in a polycrisis generated by novel and unprecedented conditions.

A hub for the growing polycrisis community

Megan Shipman and Scott Janzwood

Polycrisis program announcement

Polycrisis.org: A hub for a the polycrisis community to converge on priorities for research and action.

‘Trigger fixation’ and trauma in the midst of global wildfires

Scott Janzwood

Royal Roads University President's Message

We need to overcome our fixation on wildfire triggers, and acknowledge the importance of underlying causes.

Let’s avoid ‘trigger fixation’

Michael Lawrence and Thomas Homer-Dixon

The Globe and Mail

Leaders should pay far more attention to underlying crisis stresses; they are ultimately far more important than trigger events.

Plenty of reason for hope, if we work together for change

Thomas Homer-Dixon

The Times Colonist

The importance of hope that is “honest” and grounded the best scientific understanding of the polycrisis.

Earth’s polycrisis is no mere illusion

Thomas Homer-Dixon, Michael Lawrence, and Scott Janzwood

The Globe and Mail

A backlash against the "polycrisis" neologism is well underway, but the polycrisis idea can motivate urgent scientific investigation into the architecture of global crisis interaction.

Polycrisis: Why we must turn this meme into a big Idea

Michael Lawrence

The Conversation

The debate around polycrisis is largely a question of whether we really understand the mess we’re in.

How do we turn a cascade of crises into a cascade of successes?

Thomas Homer-Dixon

Royal Roads University President's Message

Amid a global polycrisis, what can be done to turn a cascade of crises into a "virtuous cascade" of success.

Hope and Canada’s futures: Resilience in a polycrisis

Thomas Homer-Dixon

The Globe and Mail Future of Canada Lecture Series
A call for a National Dialogue on Canada's Futures to help Canada face the emerging global polycrisis.

What happens when a cascade of crises collide?

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Thomas Homer-Dixon and Johan Rockström

The New York Times

Today’s mess is best understood as a global polycrisis—a term which implies that humanity is dealing with a complex knot of seemingly distinct but actually deeply entangled crises.

Every politically feasible pathway to net-zero requires a technological breakthrough

Scott Janzwood

The National Observer

Distrust of new technology runs deep in the climate movement. But we don’t have the critical green technologies we need to get us to net-zero by 2050—and assuming we do is wishful thinking.

Putin isn’t bluffing about using nuclear weapons in Ukraine

Thomas Homer-Dixon

The Globe and Mail

Russian President Vladimir Putin is forcing the West to play a dangerous game of chicken, and he’s about to throw his steering wheel out the window.

Instead of lurching from one catastrophe to the next, B.C. needs to understand how its crises are linked

Thomas Homer-Dixon and Robin Cox

The Globe and Mail

We need to improve how we marshal, integrate, apply and communicate the best knowledge about B.C.’s emerging risks – those known and anticipated, as well as those unexpected and even currently unimaginable.

A big bet on geothermal could help prevent a climate catastrophe

Thomas Homer-Dixon, Ian Graham, and Ellen Quigley

The Globe and Mail

A government-industry research and development partnership in ultradeep geothermal would be a “moonshot” project that Canadians could rally around.

The global systemic consequences of the Ukraine-Russia War: Part II

Cascade Institute

Ukraine-Russia War Expert Panel

Whether Russia will use a tactical nuclear weapon depends on Putin’s psychology, his evolving assessment of his own capabilities, and what he considers to be an acceptable outcome.

The global systemic consequences of the Ukraine-Russia War: Part I

Cascade Institute

Ukraine-Russia War Expert Panel

The first briefing of the Ukraine-Russia War Expert Panel

Two things the West must do to lower the probability that Putin will pull the nuclear trigger

Thomas Homer-Dixon

The Ottawa Citizen

Putin’s two war aims may be unachievable, but if he persists in pursuing them, he’ll effectively lock himself into escalation.

The American polity is cracked, and might collapse. Canada must prepare

Thomas Homer-Dixon

The Globe and Mail

A warning that the U.S. could be governed by a right-wing dictatorship by 2030.

The climate strike continues (online): Findings from the Youth Climate Values Survey

Hanna Ross

Cascade Institute analysis

Priorities and preferred climate change solutions expressed by young Canadians in a recent survey.

Canada’s thawing permafrost should be raising alarm bells in the battle against climate change

Thomas Homer-Dixon and Duane Froese

The Globe and Mail

Canada has an opportunity to set up monitoring and remote sensing technologies to measure permafrost thaw.

Meeting Canada’s climate commitments requires ending supports for oil and gas production

Angela Carter and Truzaar Dordi

Cascade Institute report

Recommendations for policies Canada can implement to phase out oil and gas production and meet its climate commitments.

Modern monetary theory is the new black, but we should brace for seeing red

Michael Lawrence and Thomas Homer-Dixon

The Globe and Mail

Modern monetary theory doesn’t propose that governments can keep spending without consequence. The limit on government spending, though, is not government deficits but rising inflation.

Thawing permafrost is a northern crisis and a global threat

Michael Brown and Duane Froese

The Vancouver Sun

Unconstrained, Canada’s permafrost could be releasing more carbon than is currently being generated by all human activities across the country. This raises three stark concerns and a pressing opportunity.

New report from The Transition Accelerator: Pathways to net zero: A decision support tool

Dr. James Meadowcroft

The Transition Accelerator report

Practical guidance on assessing different pathways to net zero for eight critical sectors and systems in Canada.

Learning Salon Series: Our world’s cascading crises. What is driving them, are they going to get worse, and can they be stopped?

Thomas Homer-Dixon and Michael Lawrence

Learning Salon Series

The underlying mechanisms of cascading crises.

Review of Commanding Hope: The Power We Have to Renew a World in Peril, a new book by Thomas Homer-Dixon, Director of the Cascade Institute

Arno Kopecky

Book Review in The Literary Review of Canada

There May Yet Be Hope: The future is not set in stone (a review of Thomas Homer-Dixon's 2020 book, Commanding Hope)

However the pandemic unfolds, it’s time for oil use to peak—and society to prepare for the fallout

Yonatan Strauch, Angela Carter, and Thomas Homer-Dixon

Bulletin of Atomic Scientists

Peak oil demand represents a crucial tipping point in the global clean energy transition – and will signal a moment when an accumulation of forces unleashes a torrent of change.

Colliding crises can’t be handled with one-track solutions

Scott Janzwood

The Globe and Mail

The key to minimizing the harm from compound risks is to decrease their connectivity.

Corona Image

Coronavirus will change the world. It might also lead to a better future

Thomas Homer-Dixon

The Globe and Mail

The Coronavirus pandemic could help catalyze an urgently needed tipping event in humanity’s collective moral values, priorities and sense of self and community.